As of today, Jannik Sinner is number 2 in the ATP rankings. His success in Miami puts him ahead of Carlos Alcaraz, with Novak Djokovic remaining number 1 and with about a 1000 point lead.
Jannik Sinner also won the Miami tournament. For the Italian, this is the third title of 2024, and it is the second Masters 1000 title of his career. The 1000 points earned at the Miami Open bring Sinner to number 2 in the ATP ranking and bring him significantly closer to Novak Djokovic.
And now, calculations for overtaking the Serbian are starting to be made. The world number one position is not far off, and it is not unrealistic to think that by late spring, Sinner could become number 1.
What Sinner needs to become world number 1
The Miami success, the third of 2024, puts Sinner ahead of Alcaraz. Sinner is number 2 in the world for the first time. And now, naturally, the focus, or rather the thought, automatically goes to overtaking Djokovic, which is not the easiest thing at all. Sinner now has 8710 points. About a thousand less than Djokovic, who is at 9725. Alcaraz is right behind with 8645. A three-way battle for the top spot.
Let’s clear up any doubts immediately. Becoming number 1 soon will not be easy, but by late spring, Jannik could become the king of tennis. On clay last year, he reached the semifinals in Monte Carlo, then withdrew in Barcelona before the quarterfinals, did not compete in Madrid, lost in the round of 16 in Rome, and was immediately out at Roland Garros.
This means that Sinner will defend (relatively) few points until mid-June and continuing to play like this will have the chance to score well. He will drop 585 points from here to Paris. So, he will not fall below 8000 points.
Alcaraz, on the other hand, will lose 2225 points from now until Roland Garros, only gaining in Monte Carlo, having not played in 2023. Djokovic has a significant bill, that of winning last year’s Roland Garros, but until the 2000 points of Paris, he only drops 315. So, it’s easy to think that if there is a change at the top, it could be after Paris, barring further exploits by Sinner.
When Sinner can become number 1 in the ATP ranking
The Miami success significantly closes the gap for Jannik Sinner to the number one position in the ATP rankings. At Roland Garros, Djokovic defends the title and 2000 points, and Sinner practically nothing having lost early in 2023. So after Paris, there could be a change at the top. June 10th could be the right day to write in the tennis history books.
